China’s e-commerce boom: How do Indian policies compare?

Raj Trikkha, Research Intern, ICS

Image: China, in spite of gaining access to the internet after India has managed to have a 50.4% share of the global e-commerce market, while India’s share is at 1.29%
Source: Businessworld

China has been dominating the world in e-commerce since 2013, when it overtook the US to become the world’s largest market. Ever since the growth in this sector has been on a double-digit spree. According to a report by eMarketer, the revenue accrued to Chinese companies from their e-commerce sector in 2020 stood at 2296.95 billion dollars, almost triple that of the US. 

Now, the first question that pops in our head is, ‘Is it because of the huge population of China?’. If it were so, then India, which has a population almost equal to China’s, should also be topping the list or at least be close to topping the list, which it is not. Hence the more important question arises, ‘What holds back India from leading the world in the e-commerce sector?’. 

Several factors, like demographics and consumer trust, might be taken into consideration while answering the question. To narrow down our focus, we will only look into the government policies and regulations of the two countries and compare their effectiveness. The policies will pertain to two domains, namely, internet development and domestic e-commerce. 

China embraced the internet in 1994, and quickly realizing its importance, began developing the internet sector at an incredible speed. While only 6000 computers and 40,000 users were connected to the internet in 1995, by mid-2001, 10.2 million computers and 26.5 million users were online. The credit for this achievement goes to the initiative taken by China’s government in the promotion of the internet. They launched 13 “Golden Projects” in order to build the information infrastructure of the country and developed their internet in three phases – Asteroids (1996-2003), Bees (2004-2010), Coliseums (2010-present). Along with this, the Chinese also focused on growing their technological infrastructure which led to an expansion of telephone networks, PC manufacturing, and internet awareness. 

While the internet came to India in 1986, much before China, it could not climb the stairs of development as quickly. Its first action towards internet development, the IT Action Plan 1998, was several years after the introduction of the internet. It also eventually laid down new laws, the IT Act 2000, to deal with cybercrime and e-commerce. While India was still formulating policies and laws, China worked on building infrastructure for e-commerce under the Golden Projects. The strategy followed by India was thought to be better in the long run, while China’s strategy paid off instantly. It is 2021, and the anticipated success from India’s long-term strategy is yet to be gained, as China enjoys an internet penetration of 70.4%, while India is only at 45%

The vast differences in their approaches to regulating the market affected the market and its players to a large extent and thus, became an essential factor in determining the growth of the market. 

Image: While India remains far behind China in e-commerce sales, it is growing at a rate faster than any other country on this chart
Source: eMarketer

For instance, China’s e-commerce policies aim at strengthening the construction of an e-commerce credit system that includes the credit information of all stakeholders. The government monitors companies with poor credit ratings, which helps avoid counterfeiting and other malpractices. Along with this, the government ensures that all e-commerce enterprises operate in accordance with information security protection regulations and technical standards. To increase security, the government has promoted the use of digital certificates and their verification among electronic certification authorities. Of course, it might be argued that such progress has occurred at the cost of citizens’ privacy. 

China has promoted tax and financial incentive programs for high-tech SMEs by replacing business tax with a value-added tax and nurturing a multi-channel financing mechanism to support e-commerce companies. The government also motivates banks and other financial bodies to launch security over intangible assets, real estate pledges, and other financing services for e-commerce SMEs. This makes it easier for SMEs to raise finance, as Intangible Asset–Based Lending leverages a portfolio of Intellectual Property or other intangible assets to secure a loan. It also guides investment funds to strengthen support for E-commerce startups.

The Indian government, on the other hand, is working towards integrating traditionally offline markets, like vegetable markets, into digital e-commerce platforms. The government has also launched flagship initiatives like Digital India, Make in India, Start-up India, and Skill India, which are responsible for the growth of the sector. 

Although India is making considerable efforts in developing its e-commerce market, there are many areas with scope for improvement. Integration of stakeholders is a key shortcoming. Government stakeholders like policymakers, taxation authorities, and the Registrar of Companies should be woven into a single system to increase efficiency and transparency for the players in the Indian e-commerce market. The absence of a centralized mechanism to provide rating or accreditation to the numerous e-commerce sites adds up to the inefficiency. This makes it difficult for people to trust such websites. If a standardized procedure for the same is developed, it will positively impact the quality of online services.

On comparing the policy approaches of the two countries, it is evident why China holds 53.64% (as of 2020) of the global e-commerce market, and India is at 1.29%. It is also clear that a large population by itself cannot translate into a thriving e-commerce market in the absence of supportive policy. Hence a more careful dissection of China’s experience can be instrumental in realizing the full potential of the Indian e-commerce market. 

China and the US Withdrawal from the Paris Climate Change Agreement

Diki Sherpa, Research Assistant, Institute of Chinese Studies

After months of prevarication, United States President Donald Trump on 1 June 2017, pulled his country out of the historic Paris agreement on climate change – despite pressure from world leaders at the G7 summit. The agreement was adopted in 2015 by 195 nations, with 147 ratifying it—including the US, the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas emitter after China. It was an initial bilateral agreement between the US and China that became a template for the Paris agreement.[1] It was built on the idea that by 2050, coal-fired power plants that contribute to half of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions would be replaced by renewable energy.[2]

Being a non-binding deal, India pledged to cut its emissions by 30-35 per cent by 2030 compared to 2005 levels.[3] India, like other developing countries, is also meant to receive funds in order to switch to clean energy production. However, with America’s withdrawal,all these appear a distant dream. Continue reading “China and the US Withdrawal from the Paris Climate Change Agreement”

Artificial Intelligence and China’s Future

Shruthi Anup Kumar, Research Intern, ICS

The field of artificial intelligence or AI encompasses a number of possibilities. Ranging from autonomous driving systems and language interpretation to facial recognition and military weapons, AI comprises not only the development of a robot that can move, think and talk like a human being but also includes smart programmes that are built to overcome our shortcomings and make the job easier for a human being.

In 2015, China’s central government launched the ‘Made in China 2025’ policy,[1] whereby the shift in focus from mass producing factory goods to developing high tech manufactured products by the year 2025 was announced. The effect of this policy was especially felt in the AI sector which is expected to grow from an industry of 23.9 billion Yuan (as of 2016) to 38 billion Yuan by the year 2018.[2] Continue reading “Artificial Intelligence and China’s Future”

China’s Technological Success in Manufacturing

Amitava Banik, BE (E&C), PGDM (Insurance Business)

China has for some time now been holding a position of technological significance in the world. It is a great success story for a country that is still counted among the world’s developing nations. Memories of the time it had been associated with inferior quality products have all but vanished. China has not only been extremely successful in making its products the “new normal” all over the world, but with its investments in cutting edge technologies, infrastructure and skilled manpower, it has started to edge into the hi-tech zone.

It is generally accepted that countries develop in successive stages from an agricultural economy to industrial manufacturing and then to a service-based economy. All major world economies have traversed this path. The transformation in India on the contrary, has been from the agrarian economy to a service economy, virtually jumping over the manufacturing stage. One of the primary reasons put forward by economists for this bypassing of the manufacturing stage in India, is the lack of progress of primary education in the country. Continue reading “China’s Technological Success in Manufacturing”

Structural Transformation in the Chinese Economy: From Manufacturing to Services

Zhang Bin, PhD, Senior Fellow, China Finance 40 Forum & Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing

A version of this article was originally published in the Business Standard as ‘The way forward for the Chinese economy’, 18 March 2017. This is part of a series by Chinese economists facilitated by the ICS.

As part of the cycle of economic development, all advanced economies have undergone industrialization and post-industrialization. Industrialization involved the manufacturing sector’s focus on increasing GDP, employment rate and consumption of manufactured products. For China, the post-industrialization phase implies economic activities will be concentrate in the service industry.

Based on measures of income level, the rate of growth of the manufacturing sector, employment rate and the consumption of manufactured products, China has passed the peak of industrialization. If global experience is a guide, the peak of industrialization happens when per capita GDP ranges between US$8,000 and US$10,000 (PPP based on 1990 value). After reaching the peak of US$10,000, the proportion of the industrial sector indicators continues to decline. By this yardstick, China has passed the peak of industrialization. Continue reading “Structural Transformation in the Chinese Economy: From Manufacturing to Services”