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In recent years, particularly after 2020 (Pandemic), the Chinese economy has been observed to be slowing down in terms of growth rates, prompting a variety of commentaries on the reasons and implications, both for China and the global economy. Some of these commentaries follow from other narratives in earlier decades predicting an impending collapse of China’s economy based on a variety of arguments. This presentation picks up from Prof. Barry Naughton’s presentation at the Gargi and V.P.Dutt memorial lecture (3 April 2024), “China’s Economic Slowdown: Structural, Cyclic and Systemic” and examines a few other hypotheses. It would identify the problems with these arguments in the context of the recent performance of other major economies and changing geo-political conditions post-2020.
About the Speaker
Sriram Natrajan is an Adjunct Fellow at the Institute of Chinese Studies, New Delhi, and an independent researcher on Development Theory, Food Security and Nutrition, and Chinese Agriculture. He has consulted for the Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO), and the International Labour Office (ILO) besides lecturing at Jawaharlal Nehru University (New Delhi), University of Delhi (New Delhi), and Chulalongkorn University (Bangkok).
About the Chair
G. Venkat Raman is a Professor at the Indian Institute of Management, Indore. He is also an Honorary Fellow at the Institute of Chinese Studies, New Delhi. His research interests include the current state of US-China power rivalries, with a primary focus on the technology war and climate change, and China's interface with global governance. His recent publication is a co-edited volume on BRICS titled, Locating BRICS in the Global Order: Perspectives from Global South. He has also co-authored case studies on Indian businesses in China.
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